Controlled correlation

Partial Correlation

Partial correlation asks whether X and Y are still related after removing the influence of a third variable. It is useful when a simple correlation may be driven by a confounder.

Simple correlation

Measures the raw relationship between X and Y without controlling anything else.

Control variable

Removes the shared influence of a third variable, such as age, income, or baseline skill.

Partial correlation

Shows the remaining relationship between X and Y after the control variable is accounted for.

Why this matters

If a correlation disappears after controlling a third variable, the original relationship may not be direct. If it remains strong, the relationship is harder to dismiss as a simple confounding artifact.

Context

Correlation vs causation

Control variables help, but they still do not prove causation by themselves.

Interpretation

R² and explained variance

Use R² to understand how much variation a relationship explains.